{"id":1893,"date":"2020-01-15T06:59:49","date_gmt":"2020-01-15T06:59:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/?p=1893"},"modified":"2020-01-15T06:59:52","modified_gmt":"2020-01-15T06:59:52","slug":"currencies-in-cautious-mood-as-investors-wait-for-trade-deal-signing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/currencies-in-cautious-mood-as-investors-wait-for-trade-deal-signing\/","title":{"rendered":"Currencies in cautious mood as investors wait for trade deal signing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The safe-haven yen held firm and riskier Asian currencies softened a little on Wednesday, as currency investors awaited the signing of the U.S.-China trade deal with trepidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The formal agreement is aimed at drawing a line under 18 months of tit-for-tat tariff hikes that have hurt global growth, but it will not end the trade dispute between the world&#8217;s two largest economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said existing tariffs on Chinese goods would stay, pending further talks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That pulled China&#8217;s yuan below Tuesday&#8217;s six-month peak and lifted the Japanese yen from a seven-month low, as traders reckoned on few further benefits from the agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The deal is priced in,&#8221; said National Australia Bank&#8217;s head of FX strategy, Ray Attrill. &#8220;I can&#8217;t see any reason why the yuan should continue to strengthen, given the limited amount of tariff rollbacks that are contained in this deal.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The yuan is the currency most sensitive to Sino-U.S. trade relations, and it retreated 0.2% to 6.8942&nbsp;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The yen&nbsp;was nearly 0.1% firmer at 109.88. The euro (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/eur-usd\">EUR=<\/a>) was steady at $1.1132 and the Swiss franc&nbsp;held on to overnight gains to sit at 0.9672 per dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The trade-exposed Australian and New Zealand dollars each eased, with the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/aud-usd\">Aussie<\/a>&nbsp;last 0.1% lower at $0.6898 and the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/currencies\/nzd-usd\">kiwi<\/a>&nbsp;a fraction weaker at $0.6612. Against a basket of currencies the U.S. dollar held at 97.339 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/indices\/usdollar\">DXY<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U.S. President Donald Trump is slated to sign the Phase 1 trade agreement with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He at the White House at 1630 GMT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Washington has already agreed to suspend tariffs on $160 billion of some Chinese-made electronics, and to halve existing tariffs on $120 billion of other goods to 7.5%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But it will leave in place 25% tariffs on a vast, $250 billion array of Chinese industrial goods and components used by U.S. manufacturers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A source told Reuters that China has pledged to buy almost $80 billion of additional manufactured goods from the United States over the next two years under the deal, although some U.S. trade experts called that unrealistic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mnuchin said deal documents will be released on Wednesday, except for confidential annex covering the product and services purchases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Elsewhere the British pound&nbsp;was marginally stronger at $1.3027, ahead of inflation data due at 0930 GMT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The consensus expectation is for the core annual inflation rateto hold steady at 1.7%. However, several recent hints at rate cuts from Bank of England policymakers have investors on edge that a miss on the downside may strengthen the case for monetary easing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Money markets are now pricing in a 43% chance for a 25 basis point cut in rates at the end of this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;If we saw core inflation coming in at say, 1.4%, then I think that would inflame the situation,&#8221; said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He added that business surveys next week would be even more closely watched. &#8220;If they don&#8217;t show any kind of meaningful rebound, then you&#8217;re probably going to get a market that&#8217;s pricing in (the chance of a cut) at north of 50%.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The safe-haven yen held firm and riskier Asian currencies softened a little on Wednesday, as currency investors awaited the signing of the U.S.-China trade deal with trepidation. The formal agreement is aimed at drawing a line under 18 months of tit-for-tat tariff hikes that have hurt global growth, but it<a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/currencies-in-cautious-mood-as-investors-wait-for-trade-deal-signing\/\"> Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1893","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1893"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1893\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1894,"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1893\/revisions\/1894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1893"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1893"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/forexvarsity.com\/welcome\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1893"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}